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New Working Paper | Central Bank Transparency and the Persistence of ‘Very High’ Inflation

New Working Paper | Central Bank Transparency and the Persistence of ‘Very High’ Inflation

The post-pandemic resurgence of inflation has renewed attention on its persistence and the role of central banks in maintaining credibility. Conventional explanations emphasize fiscal discipline, exchange rate regimes, or inflation targeting. However, these factors do not fully explain why some countries return rapidly to price stability while others experience prolonged inflationary episodes. We argue that central bank transparency—the clarity of communication regarding objectives, policy decisions, and macroeconomic forecasts—is a key determinant of inflation persistence.

New Working Paper | Climate Hazards Meet Overpriced Cities: Linking Environmental Risks to Real Estate Markets Across the Globe

New Working Paper | Climate Hazards Meet Overpriced Cities: Linking Environmental Risks to Real Estate Markets Across the Globe

The determinants of the price-to-income (PTI) ratio in urban real estate markets have been extensively examined in the literature (e.g., Himmelberg et al., 2005; Duprey & Klaus, 2022; Kuebler & Rugh, 2013; André et al., 2014; Pavlidis et al., 2016; Wu et al., 2012). Most studies focus on issues related to credit conditions and systemic risk, treating the PTI ratio primarily as a measure of housing affordability.

Press Release: Joint IMF-RFAs press release on the 10th High-level RFA Dialogue

Press Release: Joint IMF-RFAs press release on the 10th High-level RFA Dialogue

(Washington, DC) – On 14 October 2025, the Regional Financing Arrangements (RFAs) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) marked a significant milestone with the convening of their 10th Annual High-Level Dialogue. Over the past decade, cooperation between the RFAs and the IMF has deepened institutional ties, fostering stronger coordination between these two layers of the Global Financial Safety Net (GFSN).

New Working Paper | Ciclos Crediticios en el Perú

New Working Paper | Ciclos Crediticios en el Perú

Understanding the cyclical movements of macro-financial variables, such as credit, is relevant not only to identify whether the financial sector is experiencing overheating, but also to design macroprudential measures aimed at preventing extreme fluctuations in the financial cycle. In this study, we focus on measuring the cyclical changes of different credit indicators—both in logarithmic terms and as ratios to GDP—as well as by type of credit and currency.