News

News

New Working Paper | Central Bank Transparency and the Persistence of ‘Very High’ Inflation

The post-pandemic resurgence of inflation has renewed attention on its persistence and the role of central banks in maintaining credibility. Conventional explanations emphasize fiscal discipline, exchange rate regimes, or inflation targeting. However, these factors do not fully explain why some countries return rapidly to price stability while others experience prolonged inflationary episodes. We argue that central bank transparency—the clarity of communication regarding objectives, policy decisions, and macroeconomic forecasts—is a key determinant of inflation persistence.

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New Working Paper | Central Bank Transparency and the Persistence of ‘Very High’ Inflation

The post-pandemic resurgence of inflation has renewed attention on its persistence and the role of central banks in maintaining credibility. Conventional explanations emphasize fiscal discipline, exchange rate regimes, or inflation targeting. However, these factors do not fully explain why some countries return rapidly to price stability while others experience prolonged inflationary episodes. We argue that central bank transparency—the clarity of communication regarding objectives, policy decisions, and macroeconomic forecasts—is a key determinant of inflation persistence.

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New Working Paper | Climate Hazards Meet Overpriced Cities: Linking Environmental Risks to Real Estate Markets Across the Globe

The determinants of the price-to-income (PTI) ratio in urban real estate markets have been extensively examined in the literature (e.g., Himmelberg et al., 2005; Duprey & Klaus, 2022; Kuebler & Rugh, 2013; André et al., 2014; Pavlidis et al., 2016; Wu et al., 2012). Most studies focus on issues related to credit conditions and systemic risk, treating the PTI ratio primarily as a measure of housing affordability.

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Press Release: Joint IMF-RFAs press release on the 10th High-level RFA Dialogue

(Washington, DC) – On 14 October 2025, the Regional Financing Arrangements (RFAs) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) marked a significant milestone with the convening of their 10th Annual High-Level Dialogue. Over the past decade, cooperation between the RFAs and the IMF has deepened institutional ties, fostering stronger coordination between these two layers of the Global Financial Safety Net (GFSN).

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New Working Paper | Ciclos Crediticios en el Perú

Understanding the cyclical movements of macro-financial variables, such as credit, is relevant not only to identify whether the financial sector is experiencing overheating, but also to design macroprudential measures aimed at preventing extreme fluctuations in the financial cycle. In this study, we focus on measuring the cyclical changes of different credit indicators—both in logarithmic terms and as ratios to GDP—as well as by type of credit and currency.

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FLARblog | Dollarization and the International Bank Lending Channel in Latin America

While the bank lending channel has been widely studied in the economic literature, its implications for dollarized economies have received little attention. Our recent research focuses on this type of economy to evaluate two hypotheses: First, does an international lending channel operate within the dollarized economies of Latin America? Second, how does the degree of dollarization influence the strength of this transmission mechanism?

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FLARblog | Overview of Direct Investment (DI) in Paraguay: 2008-2023

Direct Investment (DI) in Paraguay has been influenced by various economic and structural factors over the past decades. From the economic boom of the 1970s, driven by major infrastructure projects and active investment incentives, to the liberalizing reforms of the 1990s and sectoral diversification in the twenty-first century, the development of DI has been shaped by a mix of internal and external factors.

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Working paper in academic journal | US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries

We are pleased to share a new publication in the academic journal Research in International Business and Finance, featuring the study: “US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries,” authored by Carlos Giraldo, Iader Giraldo-Salazar, Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez, and Jorge M. Uribe.

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Working paper in academic journal | The adoption of fast payment systems (FPS) in Latin America: the role of financial literacy and cash-related beliefs

We are pleased to share a new publication in the academic journal International Journal of Bank Marketing. This time, it features the research titled “The adoption of fast payment systems (FPS) in Latin America: the role of financial literacy and cash-related beliefs”, authored by Carlos Giraldo, Iader Giraldo, Mauricio Losada-Otálora, and Nathalie Peña-García.

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Press Release | Climate Change and Financial Stability in Focus at 9th Joint RFA Research Seminar

On May 16, 2025, the 9th Joint RFA Research Seminar took place in Medellín, co-organized by FLAR, AMRO, and ESM.
The event brought together experts from international financial organizations, central banks, finance ministries, and academia to discuss the impact of climate change on macroeconomic stability, financial system resilience, and public finances and sovereign risk.

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New Working Paper | The Impact of Colombia’s Gross Leverage Position in Foreign Exchange Derivatives on Housing Market Stability

Housing prices are among the most crucial determinants of a country’s financial and macroeconomic stability. As a key macroeconomic indicator, they significantly influence both consumption and investment, shaping economic and financial cycles. Given that housing represents a substantial share of household wealth, price fluctuations have far-reaching effects on consumption, savings, and labor market decisions.

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